No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $14.31K
- Potential payout
- $15.1K
- Potential profit
- $792.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.76K
Polymarket Trader
mirand
0x9cf6c12ba5927d43e9297006a438d2af0af5559d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.36K
- Realized PnL
- $46.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $792.75
- Potential payout
- $15.1K
- Potential profit
- $14.31K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.76K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $166.89
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$25.95
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- User PnL
- $112.72
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $108.1
No position
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $32.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$9.41
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- User PnL
- $92.72
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $976.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $703.9
No position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $308.42
- Potential payout
- $844.99
- Potential profit
- $536.57
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$78.21
No position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $308.56
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.73
No position
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $261.61
- Potential payout
- $262
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $38.11
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $34.56
- Potential payout
- $255.99
- Potential profit
- $221.43
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $228.8
- Potential payout
- $231.81
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $21.98
Yes position
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $200.67
- Potential payout
- $224.21
- Potential profit
- $23.54
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $63.07
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $166.17
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $32.84
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $10.94
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.17
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $56.89
- Potential payout
- $57.41
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $25.86
- Potential profit
- $19.76
- Multiplier
- 4.24x
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $17.45
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $9.5
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28K
Yes position
Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $974.82
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $967.47
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.69
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.63
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.6
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.86
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $733.59
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.12
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685.17
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.83
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 467.93 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 9% 198.22 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 94% 88 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 98.7% 753.74 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 30% 222.04 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 17% 195 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 10.8% 270 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes 20% 200 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 31% 100 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 36% 40 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes 6.3% 420 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes 4% 57.86 shares