N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $219.98
- Potential profit
- $216.57
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$191.93
Polymarket Trader
eeeffg
0x9d11d5257b61fb6b3131033f1c964b0fedf3601b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.41
- Realized PnL
- $43.78
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.8% 219.98 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 88% 197.44 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 92.3% 156.34 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 99.1% 139.74 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 83.7% 139.75 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.6% 74.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 43.85 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.1% 74.13 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Yes 96.9% 72.83 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 43.86 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 98.3% 14.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 98.3% 28.83 shares