Polymarket Trader

MikeObama

0x9d275563f56ecb8101c0a65fe7b535e00d9d3369

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.51
Realized PnL: $14.77
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $33.51
Potential payout: $515.5
Potential profit: $481.99
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$59.28

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.01

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 18% 515.5 shares
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Yes 99.9% 3.04 shares
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Yes 8.3% 11.9 shares
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Yes 2.9% 3.84 shares
OpenAI browser by October 31?

No 59% 3.39 shares
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Yes 43% 11.63 shares
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Yes 78% 3.85 shares
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

No 53% 9.43 shares
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Yes 95.3% 20.83 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 11.8% 16.95 shares
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?

Yes 38% 5.55 shares