Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$20.75
Polymarket Trader
0x9d27...45c6
0x9d27b734ba12717ffc325ac961d635963cee45c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $75.53
- Realized PnL
- $3.85
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $20.75
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.37
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $12.64
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.77
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 85% 14 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 15% 31 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 24 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 23.1% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 76.9% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 81% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 12% 23 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 88% 21 shares
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No 41% 5 shares
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes 60% 6 shares