Polymarket Trader

to001papa

0x9d2ddf7d3d03e359df104b604b46599c389b395e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.74K
Realized PnL: $990.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $925.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $514.72

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.6%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $856.06
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$16.75

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.1%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $192.99
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $69.6

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $105.99
Potential profit: $82.2
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.5
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $53.5
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $41.5
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $14.2
Potential payout: $34.23
Potential profit: $20.02
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$2.86

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $22.22
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$10.78

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$3.69

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8
Potential profit: $1.8
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.28

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.38

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.89

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $40.7

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.8% 1,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.7% 2,400 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61% 1,000 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 53% 1,900 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 918 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 52% 200 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61% 120 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 100 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 80.65 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 36% 55.56 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 65% 468.24 shares