Polymarket Trader

0x9D34B2CfC22003cdC78bFBf40E57D7fF77a615A1-1768912344845

0x9d34b2cfc22003cdc78bfbf40e57d7ff77a615a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $714.88
Realized PnL: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$700

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$143.01

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $884.32
Potential profit: $884.32
User PnL: -$543.34

Yes position

Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $708.52
Potential profit: $708.52
User PnL: -$386.46

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $674.1
Potential profit: $674.1
User PnL: -$287.07

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $80.29
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $507.94
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$19.71

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $107.89
Potential payout: $584.8
Potential profit: $476.9
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $7.9

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.62
Potential profit: $547.62
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429.18
Potential profit: $429.18
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $88.31
Potential payout: $353.23
Potential profit: $264.92
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$11.69

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.22
Potential profit: $308.22
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $39.3
Potential payout: $250.3
Potential profit: $211
Multiplier: 6.37x
User PnL: -$10.7

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.81
Potential profit: $225.81
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $97.6
Potential payout: $111.61
Potential profit: $14.01
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $102.15
Potential payout: $110.25
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $96.77
Potential payout: $109.65
Potential profit: $12.88
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$3.23

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $102.57
Potential payout: $109.29
Potential profit: $6.72
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $898.74

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.37

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.82

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.63

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $166.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.14

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.21

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $92.17

No position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.59

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.88

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.58

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.63

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.05

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.51

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.87

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.08

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.3

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 86.2% 338.98 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

No 20% 250.3 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 59% 338.98 shares
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes 28.3% 353.23 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

No 37% 270.27 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.5% 109.29 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.2% 109.65 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.6% 111.61 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

No 98.7% 96.77 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

No 70% 380.37 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

No 26.3% 380.37 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 94% 116.27 shares