Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $334
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$71
Polymarket Trader
0x9d3B64Ad02d5F8dD6d341977405d3112E6719240-1761448427145
0x9d3b64ad02d5f8dd6d341977405d3112e6719240
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $366.98
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $65.59
- Potential payout
- $319.96
- Potential profit
- $254.37
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$45.94
No position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $135.74
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $14.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $50.25
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $99.3
- Potential payout
- $99.75
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $23.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
Yes position
Will "Call of Duty: Black Ops 7" have a Metascore less than 75?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.26
Yes position
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.66
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.97
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.3
Yes position
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.3
Yes position
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.57
Yes position
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.77
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.39
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Palantir total customers above 1060 in Q1?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 30% 80 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 31.1% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 36% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 39% 12.32 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 83% 50 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 76% 60 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 71.8% 86.75 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 41% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 38% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 39% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 37% 100 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 83.3% 62 shares