Polymarket Trader

Fishsmoker

0x9d474a51ad18eedf212a4559c4e2ace3da3845d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.13
Realized PnL: $174.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$10.9

Yes position

Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$16.65

Yes position

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.62
Potential profit: $386.62
User PnL: -$13.13

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $324.5
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $12.12
Potential payout: $115.94
Potential profit: $103.83
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$0.28

Over position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.77
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.7
Potential profit: $50.7
User PnL: -$26.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.39
Potential profit: $38.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.5
Potential profit: $33.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.55
Potential profit: $28.55
User PnL: -$14.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.1
Potential profit: $18.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.76
Potential profit: $16.76
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $16.17
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.3
Potential profit: $15.3
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.24
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.96

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.64
Potential profit: $12.64
User PnL: -$6.7

Over position

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Over position

Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.87

Over position

Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

Over position

Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.72

Over position

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Over position

Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Over position

Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Over position

Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Over position

Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Over position

Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Over position

Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Over position

Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Over position

Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Over position

Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Over position

76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Over position

Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Over position

Suns vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Over position

Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Over position

Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 210.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Over position

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?

Yes 5% 13.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 27?

Yes 3% 33.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 27?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?

Yes 18.6% 16.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?

Yes 37.6% 13.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 99.8% 13.69 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5

Over 3% 14.49 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5

Over 6.9% 14.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?

Yes 2.6% 38.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?

Yes 99.2% 8.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?

Yes 6.3% 15.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 21.9% 13.7 shares