No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.2K
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- User PnL
- $160.45
Polymarket Trader
bear-bees
0x9d5431fa0f9d91b80dca9e5eaa02c609364fc43d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.66K
- Realized PnL
- $1.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.99K
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $15.02
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.15K
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $12.67
- User PnL
- $14.09
No position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- User PnL
- $33.36
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $604.99
- Potential payout
- $605.9
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $600.27
- Potential payout
- $604.19
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- User PnL
- $25.67
No position
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $467.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $214.49
- Potential payout
- $214.81
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $19.92
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $826.25
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.23
No position
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.42
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.91
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.41
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.02
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.68
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.2
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.99
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.74
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.87
No position
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.43
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.12
No position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27
No position
Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?No 99.6% 1,918.89 shares
- Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?No 99.4% 1,396.02 shares
- Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?No 99.5% 141.6 shares
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 597.48 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.2% 17,441.92 shares
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 1,013.51 shares
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026?No 99% 605.9 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?No 98.9% 4,042.66 shares
- Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?No 99% 90.51 shares
- Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?No 98.5% 148.26 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 99.2% 292 shares
- Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?No 99.8% 100 shares