Polymarket Trader

oroszharcos

0x9d54dd76d529f6c031864f2f193d3cb49252c4a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.33
Realized PnL: $200.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $26.21
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

No position

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.91
Potential profit: $12.91
User PnL: -$10.97

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $6.68
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.68

No position

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?

No 99.9% 32.6 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?

No 85% 12.91 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5

Over 82% 12.2 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?

No 92% 32.61 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 83% 5.92 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 84.4% 5.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Up 67% 1.49 shares
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 9.09 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 30?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares