Polymarket Trader

Looknin

0x9d6293a0d9189795304896a2e1cc0c8039e2361a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.05
Realized PnL: $86.16
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.73
Potential profit: $138.73
User PnL: -$50.43

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $21.05
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.72

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 23.26 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 90% 22.22 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

No 96% 20.83 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

No 94.4% 21.19 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 60.97 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 55.87 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.1% 114.94 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 114.94 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 60.98 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.9% 55.87 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.8% 147.92 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 87% 11.49 shares