Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $62.39
- Potential profit
- $58.09
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Polymarket Trader
NarrowExperience
0x9d68277b3e2e783d7a0fe609344d91098bb69db0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.58
- Realized PnL
- $66.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Cloud9 Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Dignitas Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Shopify Rebellion Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
No position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Team Liquid Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will FlyQuest Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Disguised Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Sentinels Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Cuiabá EC vs. América FC end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
N
No position
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
N
No position
Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
N
No position
Croatia to win the second half?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Ceará SC vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
N
No position
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
N
No position
Portugal vs. Croatia: Second half draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
N
No position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Leicester Tigers win?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Henan FC win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
N
No position
Sweden leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 95.8% 5 shares
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 85.5% 4.99 shares
- Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 89% 5 shares
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 93.8% 5 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 51% 3 shares
- São Bernardo FC to score first vs. Vila Nova FC?No 99% 5 shares
- São Bernardo FC to score first vs. Vila Nova FC?No 99% 5 shares
- São Bernardo FC to score first vs. Vila Nova FC?No 99% 5 shares
- São Bernardo FC to score first vs. Vila Nova FC?No 99% 5 shares