No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Tanjiro.Kamado
0x9d77b70cd7f7b8aa1edc140e364dc4519d67cf31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.91
- Realized PnL
- $4.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $10.05K
- User PnL
- -$47.43
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.44K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- User PnL
- -$210.22
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- User PnL
- -$5.35
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$10.93
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $74.92
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$70.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$118.32
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $869.81
- Potential profit
- $869.81
- User PnL
- -$48.95
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $15.61
- Potential payout
- $780.33
- Potential profit
- $764.73
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $13.54
- Potential payout
- $632.6
- Potential profit
- $619.06
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $541.79
- Potential profit
- $532.04
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.17
- Potential profit
- $513.17
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $275
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259.93
- Potential profit
- $259.93
- User PnL
- -$10.68
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $257.22
- Potential profit
- $247.32
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $26.76
- Potential payout
- $205.88
- Potential profit
- $179.12
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.09
Under position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.78
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $303.38
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.58
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.44
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.41
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.39
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.58
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.4
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.76
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.82
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.87
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.65
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.72
No position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.59
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.39
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.26
Under position
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.89
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.61
Under position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.4% 567 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 277.18 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.4% 73 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 149.89 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 4,262 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 169.72 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 24.8% 105.26 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 12,560 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5.1% 246.2 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 9,000 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 3.5% 257.22 shares