Polymarket Trader

RichFish

0x9d8c9b568bc1ab7daf3359900f8d720f1e3610dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.2
Realized PnL: $47.93
Win rate: 92.9%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $18.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $81.95
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Next US strike on Syria on December 14?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 92% 10 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 100 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 100 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 100 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Yes 46% 5 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 36% 5 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Yes 89% 10 shares
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Yes 24% 5 shares
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?

No 98.4% 5 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 5 shares