No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $3
Polymarket Trader
patriotnation
0x9da2d2f3f257006d7bb47b8aef5a89766e5db0d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $228.4
- Realized PnL
- $132.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $79.74
- Potential payout
- $192.14
- Potential profit
- $112.4
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $41.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.38
- Potential profit
- $77.38
- User PnL
- -$6.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.28
- Potential profit
- $74.28
- User PnL
- -$23.32
Yes position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.71
- Potential profit
- $49.71
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $29.11
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $15.33
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $9.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.21
- Potential profit
- $33.21
- User PnL
- -$12.95
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $32.79
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.93
- Potential profit
- $25.93
- User PnL
- -$9.85
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $23.18
- Potential payout
- $24.18
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20.02
- Potential payout
- $22.88
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $18.99
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $18.37
- Potential profit
- $12.62
- Multiplier
- 3.19x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Nipah virus in US by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.67
- Potential profit
- $17.67
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $10.18
- User PnL
- -$5.91
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.07
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No 20% 92.14 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No 20% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 18% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 61% 11.82 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 59% 8.47 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes 79% 18.99 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 22% 27.39 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 30.6% 14.4 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 36.5% 27.39 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 45% 44.44 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 39% 33.21 shares