Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
AURION2026
0x9dd38df134b10f1c27a7e139f996f3ad5465b441
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.13
- Realized PnL
- $109.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $881.14
- Potential profit
- $881.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $654.59
- Potential profit
- $654.59
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.79
- Potential profit
- $408.79
- User PnL
- -$134.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $394.78
- Potential profit
- $394.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.8
- Potential profit
- $234.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.8
- Potential profit
- $229.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.7
- Potential profit
- $186.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.44
- Potential profit
- $145.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.38
- Potential profit
- $123.38
- User PnL
- -$99.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $107
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.8
- Potential profit
- $104.8
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.52
- Potential profit
- $102.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.61
- Potential profit
- $87.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.9
- Potential profit
- $68.9
- User PnL
- -$29.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.87
- Potential profit
- $51.87
- User PnL
- -$46.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.92
- Potential profit
- $43.92
- User PnL
- -$39.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $29.84
- Potential payout
- $31.58
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $30.76
- Potential payout
- $31.42
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $29.53
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 25?No 98.9% 30.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 25?No 98% 30.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 25?No 95% 31.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25?No 96% 31.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?No 96.8% 30.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 25?No 97.1% 30.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?No 93.4% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?No 98% 30.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 25?No 95.5% 31.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 25?No 97.1% 30.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 24?No 67.3% 20.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 25?No 98% 30.61 shares