Polymarket Trader

HyperboreanBryanCaplanFan

0x9dd483126ebe16f2d853d49060040b556a95a038

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $667.84
Realized PnL: $193.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $267.33
Potential payout: $297.7
Potential profit: $30.37
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$21.59

No position

Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $119.22
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Trump say "Messi" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $117.97
Potential payout: $119.28
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Trump say "Nothing ever happens" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $83.13
Potential payout: $84.01
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Trump say "Antifa" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $51.12
Potential payout: $53.87
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.62

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $29.07
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.71

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.04

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.26

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.5 on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $5.74

No position

Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

No position

Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

No 96.5% 21.7 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026?

No 96.2% 30 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 99% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 99% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 98.9% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 99% 50 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 99% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Messi" this week?

No 98% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 99% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

No 97.1% 276 shares
Will Trump say "Messi" this week?

No 98.8% 114.28 shares
Will Trump say "Antifa" this week?

No 98% 23.68 shares