No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $260.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $180.68
Polymarket Trader
OkieDokiePeon
0x9ddfa4d5b954379a03d19f87df36b9820b862c83
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.18K
- Realized PnL
- $84.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$81.85
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$100.03
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$69.46
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$17.86
Aryna Sabalenka position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$539.48
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$39.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $915.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $999.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $47.91
- Potential payout
- $987.89
- Potential profit
- $939.98
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$15.37
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $80.94
- Potential payout
- $952.2
- Potential profit
- $871.26
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$26.12
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $874.03
- Potential profit
- $858.74
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.9
- Potential profit
- $827.9
- User PnL
- -$91.26
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $372
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $428
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $762.63
- Potential profit
- $762.63
- User PnL
- -$23.89
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $723.29
- Potential payout
- $759.36
- Potential profit
- $36.07
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $28.24
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $731.71
- Potential profit
- $731.71
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.89
- Potential profit
- $716.89
- User PnL
- -$22.7
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $665.54
- Potential profit
- $665.54
- User PnL
- -$135.51
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $239.48
- Potential payout
- $636.08
- Potential profit
- $396.6
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $143.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577
- Potential profit
- $577
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $572
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82K
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
Yes position
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 100.01 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 15 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 7.1% 161.04 shares
- Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 0.1% 110.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 22% 319.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 45% 909.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 21% 380.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 952.19 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 20% 78.74 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 48% 29.96 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 33% 100 shares