No position
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $20.46
- Potential payout
- $23.29
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Polymarket Trader
0x9dE6461495bD48520077608AC9eF012A6EaBE7f0-1782112143003
0x9de6461495bd48520077608ac9ef012a6eabe7f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $322.36
- Realized PnL
- $9.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-09 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $13.95
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the OH-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-33 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
N
No position
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.27
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 91.9% 1.2 shares
- Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?No 97% 2.04 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes 93% 2.25 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 94% 2.52 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No 82% 2.59 shares
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?No 94% 2.88 shares
- Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes 80% 2.97 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No 95.7% 3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No 78% 3.26 shares
- Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?No 87% 3.58 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 98.1% 4.06 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Yes 92% 4.26 shares