Polymarket Trader

pbshine

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.65K
Realized PnL: $119.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $5.13K
Potential payout: $13.49K
Potential profit: $8.37K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $416.48

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $5.75K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $720.95

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $557.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 3.95x
User PnL: -$942.75

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $197.17

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$139.8

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $169.75
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$57.75

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $181.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: -$178.5

Steve Garcia position

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$205

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $91.78
Potential payout: $485.61
Potential profit: $393.83
Multiplier: 5.29x
User PnL: -$34.48

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38
Potential profit: $1.38
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25K

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $6.96K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.37K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41K

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3K

Yes position

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89K

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Yes position

MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.79K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Volkov position

Volkov vs. Almeida

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77K

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 67.8% 999.99 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 46% 472.19 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 2,287.49 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29% 467.23 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 65% 970.88 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 24% 2,000 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 64.6% 575.64 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 20.2% 10.6 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21% 139.95 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 94.5% 574.98 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 700 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 78% 499.99 shares