Polymarket Trader

Frontiersman

0x9df3f29010f74ac061f65c5e463a889ada7dddfc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.79
Realized PnL: $20.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $3.11K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$185

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $101.79
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $969.64
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$48.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$499.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $946.43
Potential profit: $946.43
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $921.05
Potential profit: $921.05
User PnL: -$700

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.22
Potential profit: $909.22
User PnL: -$589.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $881.16
Potential profit: $881.16
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $863.82
Potential profit: $863.82
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $814.25
Potential profit: $814.25
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $767.58
Potential profit: $767.58
User PnL: -$119.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $752.56
Potential profit: $752.56
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750.51
Potential profit: $750.51
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.29
Potential profit: $740.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $737.79
Potential profit: $737.79
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $733.97
Potential profit: $733.97
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $713.62
Potential profit: $713.62
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $626.93
Potential profit: $626.93
User PnL: -$181.81

Yes position

Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $619.31
Potential profit: $619.31
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $619.05
Potential profit: $619.05
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $614.79
Potential profit: $614.79
User PnL: -$292.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $954.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $933.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $908.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $903.28

No position

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $664.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $646.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $539.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.51

No position

Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $398.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 20.4% 489.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 82.9% 296.41 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 1,123.6 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 57% 350.88 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 327.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 51.4% 388.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 67.5% 296.42 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 14% 357.14 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 77% 519.48 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 63% 317.46 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 53% 566.04 shares