No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $191
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1
Polymarket Trader
InvierteConSeb
@InvierteconSeb
0x9e003cc429fd8e3d95ee78bead7ebf021151adf9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191
- Realized PnL
- $1.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.69
- Potential profit
- $109.69
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.3
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.23
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.23
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.65
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.42
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.77
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.34
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.6
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.77
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.64
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.92
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.86
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.77
No position
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 200 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes 52% 15 shares
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.8% 44.99 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 9% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?No 1% 46.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?No 2% 3.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?No 2.8% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 40% 97.77 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?Yes 0.1% 92.84 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Up 0.3% 200 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 100 shares