Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.34K
- Potential profit
- $20.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Polymarket Trader
islandT
0x9e01db5669f8c07b1633f006cbb13e3d9573f5bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.7
- Realized PnL
- $5.92K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.29K
- Potential profit
- $13.29K
- User PnL
- -$683.19
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- User PnL
- -$270.38
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$212.78
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $971.28
- Potential profit
- $971.28
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $911.79
- Potential profit
- $911.79
- User PnL
- -$105.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $757.58
- Potential profit
- $757.58
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.33
- Potential profit
- $331.33
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $44.7
- Potential payout
- $279.35
- Potential profit
- $234.66
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$49.42
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.72
- Potential profit
- $223.72
- User PnL
- -$122
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.88
- Potential profit
- $220.88
- User PnL
- -$37.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.87
- Potential profit
- $184.87
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.33
- Potential profit
- $183.33
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.09
- Potential profit
- $159.09
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.67
- Potential profit
- $146.67
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $88
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.52
- Potential profit
- $57.52
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.58
- Potential profit
- $42.58
- User PnL
- -$14.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.75
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.67
Yes position
ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.66
150k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $217.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.33
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.18
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.93
No position
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.04
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $86.59
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.06
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.3
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.56
No position
Will Biden say "Hunter" during farewell address?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.29
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes 4.4% 159.09 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes 24% 183.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?No 50% 22 shares
- Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?No 50% 44 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 54.5% 223.72 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 33.7% 279.35 shares
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes 37% 252.77 shares
- Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes 10.4% 57.52 shares
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 7.2% 971.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k 14.9% 512.49 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes 4.2% 2,511.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k 20.3% 512.49 shares