Yes position
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $187.4
- Potential profit
- $185.71
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Polymarket Trader
kupiloh
0x9e076a317a6aff730270e7fe017a2afd151a3e4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.11
- Realized PnL
- $81.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.65
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.09
No position
Solana above $150 on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
Yes position
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
No position
US military action against Hezbollah in Lebanon by Monday?
Ends Aug 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Megaquake in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Dogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
$COIN added to S&P 500 in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Jul 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Roaring Kitty billionaire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Inside Out 2 opening bigger than Toy Story 4?
Ends Jun 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Garland releases Biden-Hur tape by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US military action on Yemen by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Hunter Biden sentenced to prison before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Bitcoin above $58,000 on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 1.1% 187.4 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 73% 5.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 16.67 shares
- Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?No 99.4% 19.11 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?Yes 32% 50 shares
- Will the Euroatlantic Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No 99.9% 14.01 shares
- US military action on Yemen by Friday?No 99.5% 12.06 shares
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No 99.9% 11.01 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No 98.7% 5.07 shares
- Will Grok still be #1 Free app next Friday?No 99.8% 20.02 shares
- Sánchez resigns as PM of Spain before March?No 99.9% 14.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?No 99.9% 44.04 shares