Polymarket Trader

kwb

0x9e174278b604e02f36804e98ce68c493b6930d52

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $127.53
Realized PnL: $2.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $46.95
Potential payout: $313
Potential profit: $266.05
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$78.25

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $157
Potential profit: $155.27
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$78.34

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $77.83
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $8.17
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $12.47

Yes position

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.3%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $6.6
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 7.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

Hapoel Tel Aviv position

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.58

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.29

No position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.01

No position

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $123.75

No position

Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.48

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.94

Yes position

Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.17

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.51

Yes position

Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $71.24

Yes position

Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.06

Yes position

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $43.74

Yes position

Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.6

Penn State Nittany Lions position

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $42.42

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.08

Yes position

Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.26

No position

Joe Kent charged by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.72

No position

Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

Yes position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.4

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.7

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 32% 60 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 32% 40 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 29% 68 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 24% 30 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 38% 48 shares
Will Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?

No 58% 161 shares
Will Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?

No 58% 357 shares
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 86% 11 shares
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 86% 228 shares
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 86% 190 shares
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 86% 66 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 35% 6 shares