Polymarket Trader

Stashys

0x9e2268a948e086399ab5e34bc7352afa925f63ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $465.37
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $147.62
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $804.76
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$52.38

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $214.74
Potential payout: $251.15
Potential profit: $36.42
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $14.74

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $103.01
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $17.47
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $514.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.57

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.35

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.15

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.38

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $11.77

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 21% 952.38 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 79.6% 251.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 36% 277.78 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 99.4% 151.89 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53.5% 943.39 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53% 943.4 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.1% 2,414.05 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 58.1% 452.47 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 24.9% 2,414.06 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 66.3% 452.47 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 1,176.47 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 34% 1,176.47 shares