Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Coleama
@airis_kirei
0x9e2320a6b60ebde516b69d9ed8d55d0c1442e609
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $996.64
- Realized PnL
- $307.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $147.92
- Potential payout
- $148.59
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $121.04
- Potential payout
- $121.34
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $121.04
- Potential payout
- $121.34
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $97.53
- Potential payout
- $98.27
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $61.16
- Potential payout
- $76.98
- Potential profit
- $15.82
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.84
No position
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $75.04
- Potential payout
- $75.3
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $74.98
- Potential payout
- $75.24
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $47.08
- Potential payout
- $50.38
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $50.02
- Potential payout
- $50.2
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $50.02
- Potential payout
- $50.2
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.97
- Potential payout
- $50.2
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $50.03
- Potential payout
- $50.16
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25.46
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $24.51
- Potential payout
- $25.1
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will George Pickens play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.3
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.46
Australia position
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.02
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.04
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.18
USA position
Final Stage: Canada vs. USA
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.96
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 95.5% 25.43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 42% 4.76 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 25.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.9% 23.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 4.3 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.3% 1.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No 99.7% 25.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No 98.2% 25.2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 66% 86.7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 68% 13.77 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.8% 240.48 shares