No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.8%
- Current value
- $15.41
- Potential payout
- $20.32
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
ppap
0x9e29af7cedbe410db66540b834ee8197aa4ca4a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.99
- Realized PnL
- $142.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $18.91
- Potential payout
- $19.58
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $15.65
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.98
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- User PnL
- -$0.04
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $8.49
- Potential payout
- $11.02
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $11.01
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.2%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $10.57
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $3.99
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $3.89
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.88
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- User PnL
- -$0.88
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.81
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.53
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.91
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.75
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp 50% 10 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,700 October 13-19?No 99.9% 34.73 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 October 6-12?No 99.9% 34.7 shares
- Will Solana dip to $140 September 29-October 5?No 99.9% 34.66 shares
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?No 99.9% 34.63 shares
- Aston Villa wins the Premier League?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?No 99.5% 5.4 shares
- Southampton wins the Premier League?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Southampton wins the Premier League?No 99.7% 5 shares
- Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?No 99.6% 5.4 shares
- Leicester City wins the Premier League?No 99.5% 5 shares