No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $560
- User PnL
- -$257.5
Polymarket Trader
Peacemakers
0x9e2bade08f2d8b1e0a9dc0b09155b73ebf2c8fa0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.74K
- Realized PnL
- $6.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $289.8
- Potential payout
- $499.65
- Potential profit
- $209.85
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $89.94
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $248.56
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $191.44
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $46.16
No position
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $212.55
- Potential payout
- $420.88
- Potential profit
- $208.34
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $14.73
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $210.02
- Potential payout
- $400.03
- Potential profit
- $190.02
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$208
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $260.75
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $89.25
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $50.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $110.16
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $195.84
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$9.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $297.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- $186.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235
- Potential profit
- $235
- User PnL
- -$101.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $110.2
- Potential payout
- $200.36
- Potential profit
- $90.16
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $10.02
No position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran military response by Friday?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Broncos
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.41
Yes position
Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?
Ends Aug 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.15
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.37
Colorado position
CFB: NDSU vs. Colorado
Ends Aug 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.75
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.64
Pegula position
US Open: Pegula vs. Muchova
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.3
Yes position
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.61
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.22
Saints position
Saints vs. Panthers
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.23
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.55
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.07
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.74
Yes position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.78
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.8
LSU position
Will LSU beat South Carolina?
Ends Sep 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.39
Georgia position
Will Georgia beat Kentucky?
Ends Sep 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.82
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.72
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.16
Jets position
Titans vs. Jets
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.55
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 52% 400 shares
- Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?No 12% 56.41 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 46% 440 shares
- James Comey arrested by April 29?No 41% 100 shares
- James Comey arrested by April 29?No 41% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 114.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 37% 300 shares
- Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?No 47% 411.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 43% 235 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 44% 20.8 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No 44% 230 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 65% 67.3 shares