Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
0x9E369630B26263e45E6C9670Ed0a19c002eB508F-1773584159687
0x9e369630b26263e45e6c9670ed0a19c002eb508f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.14K
- Realized PnL
- $16.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.74K
- User PnL
- -$995.37
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- User PnL
- $675.52
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $771.28
- Potential payout
- $943.47
- Potential profit
- $172.18
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $471.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $741.8
- Potential payout
- $819.67
- Potential profit
- $77.87
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $241.8
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $745.74
- Potential payout
- $815.01
- Potential profit
- $69.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $174.57
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $786.92
- Potential payout
- $790.47
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- User PnL
- $351.82
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $125.58
- Potential payout
- $597.99
- Potential profit
- $472.41
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$74.71
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $321.89
- Potential payout
- $480.44
- Potential profit
- $158.54
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $359.65
- Potential payout
- $406.39
- Potential profit
- $46.73
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $59.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $331.51
- Potential payout
- $385.48
- Potential profit
- $53.97
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $102.41
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.58
- Potential profit
- $285.58
- User PnL
- -$131.36
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $243.93
- Potential payout
- $282
- Potential profit
- $38.07
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $43.71
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $224.29
- Potential payout
- $238.23
- Potential profit
- $13.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $74.29
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $180.17
- Potential payout
- $221.09
- Potential profit
- $40.92
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $80.17
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $34.96
- Potential payout
- $194.21
- Potential profit
- $159.26
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$45.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$44.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.1
- Potential profit
- $135.1
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.07
- Potential profit
- $128.07
- User PnL
- -$49.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.3
- Potential profit
- $116.3
- User PnL
- -$48.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.4
- Potential profit
- $106.4
- User PnL
- -$50.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.4
- Potential profit
- $106.4
- User PnL
- -$50.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $106.38
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $105.6
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.57
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $808.35
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.77
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.91
Yes position
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.7
No position
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.64
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.89
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.23
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.97
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.48
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 16?No 66% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?No 64% 12 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?Yes 28% 160 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 73.2% 6 shares
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 59% 85 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 6.9% 11 shares
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 60% 75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8?No 59% 84.74 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 61% 81.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 27?No 67% 37.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?No 71% 35.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 26?No 77% 32.46 shares