No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $560.8
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $39.22
Polymarket Trader
Frieren68
0x9e455413b57a792dfd92032f9a7a9fb282803662
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.57K
- Realized PnL
- $11.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $86.84
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$213.16
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $664.58
- Potential payout
- $816.54
- Potential profit
- $151.96
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $305.89
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $693.83
- Potential payout
- $776.1
- Potential profit
- $82.27
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $40.77
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $271.27
- Potential payout
- $775.06
- Potential profit
- $503.79
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $7.75
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $178.14
- Potential payout
- $672.22
- Potential profit
- $494.08
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $477.21
- Potential payout
- $640.55
- Potential profit
- $163.34
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$22.79
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $556.46
- Potential payout
- $588.85
- Potential profit
- $32.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $60.46
No position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $268.92
- Potential payout
- $585.25
- Potential profit
- $316.33
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- $9.07
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $482.07
- Potential payout
- $579.06
- Potential profit
- $96.99
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $54.23
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $464.44
- Potential payout
- $543.21
- Potential profit
- $78.77
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $24.44
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $195.24
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $280.95
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $358.52
- Potential payout
- $468.65
- Potential profit
- $110.13
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $196
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $432.06
- Potential payout
- $450.07
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $32.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $343.85
- Potential payout
- $379.94
- Potential profit
- $36.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $61.19
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $346.57
- Potential payout
- $370.66
- Potential profit
- $24.09
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $131.57
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $360.35
- Potential payout
- $369.4
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $63.87
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $361.53
- Potential payout
- $365
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- User PnL
- $54.93
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $79.12
- Potential payout
- $336.69
- Potential profit
- $257.57
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$30.88
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $274.81
- Potential payout
- $325.22
- Potential profit
- $50.41
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $124.82
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $297.94
- Potential payout
- $313.62
- Potential profit
- $15.68
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $167.02
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $307.19
- Potential payout
- $310.3
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.19
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $266.94
- Potential payout
- $274.77
- Potential profit
- $7.83
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.94
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $243.69
- Potential payout
- $273.81
- Potential profit
- $30.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $13.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $846.58
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.18
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.47
No position
Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.71
No position
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $638.45
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 August 11–17?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.8
No position
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.78
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.96
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.57
No position
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.37
No position
Will Solana reach $220 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.34
No position
Will JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" 3+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?
Ends Aug 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.79
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 18–24?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.97
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.52
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.5
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.13
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.03
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $248.08
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.03
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.27
No position
Will Solana reach $240 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.94
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.76
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 34% 775.06 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 266.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 236.26 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 13% 769.23 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 322.92 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 84.3% 181.57 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 84.1% 594.53 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 60.8% 547.94 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 60.8% 547.93 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 19% 263.16 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 63.3% 94.84 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 62.4% 80.11 shares