No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $90.32
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $0.23
Polymarket Trader
0x9E48c8357E41BBdb48880d342A1D59FE633C20a9-1762134335100
0x9e48c8357e41bbdb48880d342a1d59fe633c20a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.37
- Realized PnL
- $1.97
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $12.05
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No 99.8% 90.39 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 90.65 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.2% 90.66 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 96.6% 93.02 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 97.8% 93.03 shares
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.6% 91.64 shares
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.5% 12.18 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 102.06 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 102.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 99.8% 90 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 99.8% 101.03 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No 99.4% 101.44 shares