Polymarket Trader

kai902000

0x9e4f8306653cd9cce9c3440242a9c5a284a50f0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $565.93
Realized PnL: $254.61
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.64
Potential profit: $724.64
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $102.17
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $332.61
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $47.44
Potential payout: $393.7
Potential profit: $346.26
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 82.4%
Current value: $240.47
Potential payout: $292.01
Potential profit: $51.54
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $90.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $174.9
Potential profit: $170.88
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$45.98

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $50.38
Potential payout: $150.6
Potential profit: $100.23
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.38

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $49.27
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $93.59
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $123.98
Potential profit: $102.28
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$28.3

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $50.48
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $45.67
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.2

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.18

Over position

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$199.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?

Yes 28.6% 174.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Yes 40.3% 123.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Yes 54.2% 184.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Yes 46.6% 107.35 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5

Over 61% 163.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Yes 0.7% 14,556.74 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35% 142.86 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 434.78 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 71% 140.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Yes 10.9% 918.85 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 52% 96.15 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 393.7 shares