No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $50.49
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Polymarket Trader
tonylaurens
0x9e57a58631955a8bb00777700fefc26e8bb55ec6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.46
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 87%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $50.24
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $2.76
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $50.96
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $39.77
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pirates position
Reds vs. Pirates
Ends May 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Phillies position
Orioles vs. Phillies
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.1
Phillies position
Mariners vs. Phillies
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Mumbai Indians position
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indians
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.99
Celtics position
Knicks vs. Celtics
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.84
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
XRP Up or Down on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$325
Cubs position
Cubs vs. Brewers
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$523.77
Giants position
Giants vs. Braves
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$598
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mariners vs. PhilliesPhillies 50% 1,200 shares
- XRP Up or Down on August 8?Down 50% 650 shares
- Orioles vs. PhilliesPhillies 63% 1,730 shares
- Cubs vs. BrewersCubs 51% 1,027 shares
- Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai IndiansMumbai Indians 61% 1,141 shares
- Knicks vs. CelticsCeltics 62% 968 shares