Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x9E5F94397AB4CB6f9A73590B5f5334a7Af1B82FE-1781291197165
0x9e5f94397ab4cb6f9a73590b5f5334a7af1b82fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.13
- Realized PnL
- $709.96
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.17
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $18.33
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$23.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $522.65
- Potential profit
- $522.65
- User PnL
- -$104.63
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $516.66
- Potential profit
- $514.33
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.67
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$23.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.17
- Potential profit
- $288.17
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $12.77
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $209.24
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$12.99
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.66
- Potential profit
- $214.66
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $38.34
- Potential payout
- $198.68
- Potential profit
- $160.33
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- $8.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.63
- Potential profit
- $177.63
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.03
- Potential profit
- $141.03
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $23.31
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $87.69
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $12.4
- Potential payout
- $52.76
- Potential profit
- $40.36
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.97
- Potential profit
- $41.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $34.19
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown 39% 51.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 56.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp 8% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp 19% 52.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp 21.4% 140.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp 27% 148.16 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 65% 76.92 shares
- Netherlands to score first vs. Sweden?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 58% 34.48 shares
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over 59% 50.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 97% 20.62 shares