No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.46
- Potential profit
- $169.46
- User PnL
- -$6.68
Polymarket Trader
0x9e66...a1c0
0x9e662cdf617d4f76c0676bd95f9865734d52a1c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $170.22
- Realized PnL
- $403.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $125.08
- Potential payout
- $125.15
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $20.86
N
No position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.55
- Potential profit
- $55.55
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $34.36
- Potential profit
- $33.82
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.3%
- Current value
- $17.77
- Potential payout
- $23.58
- Potential profit
- $5.82
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $14.17
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $11.44
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $3.42
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $3.31
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.11
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.73
Eva Lys position
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.23
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Federico Bondioli position
Parma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Daniel Galan position
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.92
Mattia Bellucci position
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Gerard Campana Lee position
Royan: Philip Henning vs Gerard Campana Lee
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Daniel Rincon position
Parma: Pedro Martinez vs Daniel Rincon
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Ignacio Buse position
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Ann Li position
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrell
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Y
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yeon-Woo Ku position
Figueira Da Foz: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
England position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 82.2% 11.12 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 81.4% 3.46 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No 55.9% 14.17 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 61% 151 shares
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?No 17% 1.51 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 86% 20 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 86.9% 5.72 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 83.1% 15.15 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 83.6% 0.18 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 87.9% 9.01 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 88% 8.61 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 88.1% 11.79 shares