No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $98.79
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.22
Polymarket Trader
po71
0x9e754663bb8b0c9be3cb4a6625a1acbd3e1c89a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.44K
- Realized PnL
- $692.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $66.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $346.01
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $54
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $243.31
- Potential payout
- $245.02
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- User PnL
- $13.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $78.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.12
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.11
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.43
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96.4% 74.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.6% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 1,585.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 199.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18.5% 49.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 76% 200 shares