Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $55.57
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Polymarket Trader
HermesPooh
0x9e7ecaf69a70ec9291da62209e4dfd3263e28908
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.81
- Realized PnL
- $59.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.48
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.89
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.78
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04
No position
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 2.35 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 97.3% 3.36 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 5% 21 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 5% 200 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 4.9% 204.08 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 0.9% 568.38 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 0.8% 125 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 0.8% 125 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 90% 2.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 67% 1.49 shares