Polymarket Trader

redk-001

0x9e80380d5d0d2fca567d889b6705594cd71f505e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $915.98
Realized PnL: $1.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $194.33
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $836.6
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $233.57
Potential payout: $706.71
Potential profit: $473.14
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $33.57

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $141.63
Potential payout: $615.79
Potential profit: $474.16
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$13.37

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $192.31
Potential payout: $512.82
Potential profit: $320.51
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$7.69

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $154.14
Potential payout: $288.11
Potential profit: $133.97
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.69
Potential profit: $167.69
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.32

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.19

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.84

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.22

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.31

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.11

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.93

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.7

No position

No US strike on Syria in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

No position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.65

No position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.51

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.84

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.59

No position

U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

No position

Khamenei public appearance by Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Yes 28.2% 177.21 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Yes 23.9% 438.58 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 55% 288.11 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 39% 512.82 shares
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 23.2% 784.8 shares
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 25.5% 784.81 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 1,030.93 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.3% 706.71 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 51% 196.08 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29.8% 502.46 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.9% 502.47 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Yes 59.6% 167.69 shares