No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$2.89K
Polymarket Trader
happyprofit
0x9e8ce397213e906201aa848e1763a46fa752028a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.19
- Realized PnL
- $6.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $989.5
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $69
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $531
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$44.48
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$24.7
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.9
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$68.9
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$45.3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $31.92
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $98.09
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- $26.46
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.33
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$16.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $780
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $386
No position
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.51
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.58
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.65
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.05
Yes position
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.99
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.87
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.18
Yes position
Will Napoli win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Celtics
Ends Feb 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.6
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 85% 0.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4.2% 130 shares
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 500 shares
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 3,800 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 18.9% 600 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?Yes 4.8% 300 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?Yes 5% 400 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?Yes 85% 8 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 23% 200 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 35% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 500 shares