No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.45K
- Potential profit
- $14.45K
- User PnL
- -$418.93
Polymarket Trader
Topgold1
0x9e960a9a99985f60962e8fab49115f981fbb7b13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $848.84
- Realized PnL
- $254.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $641.36
- Potential payout
- $8.28K
- Potential profit
- $7.63K
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $47.04
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$102.68
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $54.44
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$150.56
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $95.54
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $10.46
- Potential payout
- $454.69
- Potential profit
- $444.23
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$18.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 475 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 5,500 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 246.67 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.3% 7,692.31 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 6,666.67 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.9% 559.09 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 2.9% 14,446.21 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 3.3% 363.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 3.1% 2,128.68 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 1.5% 4,509.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.7% 2,324.59 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 1.8% 5,600.35 shares