Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $48.23
- Potential payout
- $48.26
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $18.23
Polymarket Trader
0x9e98...dade
0x9e98bffe91eb110ee744939cc207ba31c920dade
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $192.07
- Realized PnL
- $344.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $46.6
- Potential profit
- $39.38
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$8.42
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $22.07
- Potential payout
- $33.7
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $27.99
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.1%
- Current value
- $24.37
- Potential payout
- $29.35
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.63
- Potential payout
- $28.65
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $15.34
- Potential payout
- $26.46
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $13.17
- Potential payout
- $22.9
- Potential profit
- $9.73
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $3.18
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $2.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $138-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.61
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.09
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Thomas Petersen position
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Under position
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Alessandro Costa position
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Islanders
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on July 1?No 99.5% 2.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on July 1?No 99.6% 2.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on July 1?No 99.6% 2.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on July 1?No 99.8% 2 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on July 1?No 98.6% 2.03 shares
- Will Solana reach $80 on June 30?No 99.5% 2.01 shares
- Will Solana reach $95 on June 30?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Solana reach $95 on June 30?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Solana reach $95 on June 30?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Solana reach $95 on June 30?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Solana reach $95 on June 30?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 29?No 99.9% 2 shares