Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $189.9
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $89.9
Polymarket Trader
0x9e9CeA0F43B6F44fa8f1DA8462975eA3FFAC45CD-1760936905824
0x9e9cea0f43b6f44fa8f1da8462975ea3ffac45cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $387.72
- Realized PnL
- $364.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $111.59
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $10.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.59
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $86.23
- Potential payout
- $95.28
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.48
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.25
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.88
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.66
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Warriors
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 79% 79.36 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 4.2% 182.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 97.9% 114.28 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 54.9% 182.04 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 92.4% 80.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 70% 114.29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 87% 80.46 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 62% 172.15 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No 54% 111.8 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?No 51.4% 105.16 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No 71.6% 111.81 shares