Polymarket Trader

final-divination

0x9ea7af26f3a53e2b4110766cffff0bf518d07e1c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.01K
Realized PnL: $19.49K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.27K
Potential payout: $44.95K
Potential profit: $40.68K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$15.1K

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $850.25
Potential payout: $24.64K
Potential profit: $23.79K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.83K
Potential profit: $18.83K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.3K
Potential profit: $16.3K
User PnL: -$399.97

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.35K
Potential profit: $15.35K
User PnL: -$3.15K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15K
Potential profit: $15.15K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.59K
Potential profit: $13.59K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.83K
Potential profit: $9.83K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.66
Potential payout: $9.32K
Potential profit: $9.32K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.2K

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $6.08K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.93K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $308.19
Potential payout: $6.93K
Potential profit: $6.62K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$641.8

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $5.14K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$734.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$900

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $188
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$812

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $93.59
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$153.6

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$348.94

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$510

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681.82
Potential profit: $681.82
User PnL: -$150

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.7

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$28.94

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$166.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 40.5% 491.06 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 9.3% 1,077.23 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 22% 909.09 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Yes 9.7% 1,030.93 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 44.9% 556.92 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 28% 535.71 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Yes 9.6% 2,073.1 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 28% 1,071.43 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 45.2% 1,106.62 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 45.3% 883.12 shares
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 28% 1,071.43 shares