No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
alvaro25011
@alborotostock
0x9eae9dc70a6eb5c831a0ac96931c8488431598a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.21K
- Realized PnL
- $7.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.23K
- User PnL
- -$9.23
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $51.85
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $6.05K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$21.95
Yes position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$18.4
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- User PnL
- -$3.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- User PnL
- -$3.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $249.14
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $353.81
No position
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $426.17
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $998.32
- Potential profit
- $998.32
- User PnL
- -$73.79
Yes position
Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $987.11
- Potential profit
- $987.11
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $963.43
- Potential profit
- $963.43
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $838.23
- Potential payout
- $936.57
- Potential profit
- $98.34
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $336.44
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $76.29
- Potential payout
- $930.35
- Potential profit
- $854.06
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- -$61.11
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $924.39
- Potential profit
- $924.39
- User PnL
- -$56.59
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $924.32
- Potential profit
- $924.32
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $851
- Potential profit
- $851
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $25.56
- Potential payout
- $647.06
- Potential profit
- $621.5
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $3.56
Down position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.09
- Potential profit
- $637.09
- User PnL
- -$440.48
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Y
Yes position
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $311.7
- Potential payout
- $571.92
- Potential profit
- $260.22
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$109.48
No position
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $529.74
- Potential payout
- $553.83
- Potential profit
- $24.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $228.45
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547.75
- Potential profit
- $547.75
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 80% and 82.5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $395.43
- Potential payout
- $538
- Potential profit
- $142.57
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $72.08
Yes position
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $489.75
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $859.45
Yes position
Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $9.75B?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.34
Yes position
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.18
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.5
Yes position
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.08
Yes position
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.51
Yes position
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.04
Yes position
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.27
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.21
Yes position
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.03
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.81
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $156.52
Yes position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $149.36
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.53
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.93
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.43
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.64
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 27 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.44
Yes position
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.66
Yes position
Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.64
No position
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.19
No position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.1
No position
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $8.0B?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.46
No position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.53
Yes position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $143 Week of April 13 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.42
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.22
Yes position
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.41
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.26
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $70.73
Yes position
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $10.5B?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.55
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.94
Yes position
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.43
No position
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $12.0B?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.75
Yes position
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.63
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.42
Yes position
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.58
Yes position
Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.48
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.91
Yes position
Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.1
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.74
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.56
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $61.03
No position
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.91
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.48
No position
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.99
No position
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?Yes 5.9% 54.9 shares
- Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?No 0.7% 1,900 shares
- Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?No 7.5% 1,650 shares
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 25% 177.01 shares
- Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?No 2.8% 1,300 shares
- Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?No 7.3% 80.78 shares
- Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?No 92.1% 250 shares
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Over 68% 30 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Over 76% 40 shares
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over 82% 12.2 shares