Polymarket Trader

nick.crease

0x9eb511f526962935d55abf670cfc45aa27eb3253

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.07
Realized PnL: $198.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.45
Potential profit: $153.45
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.81
Potential profit: $53.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.73
Potential profit: $49.73
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.78
Potential profit: $34.78
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.11
Potential profit: $31.11
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.51
Potential profit: $30.51
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.36
Potential profit: $25.36
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.88
Potential profit: $24.88
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.14
Potential profit: $24.14
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.87
Potential profit: $23.87
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.27
Potential profit: $22.27
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.11
Potential profit: $21.11
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.46
Potential profit: $19.46
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $19.44
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.92
Potential profit: $18.92
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.67
Potential profit: $18.67
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.95
Potential profit: $17.95
User PnL: -$6.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.64
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.43
Potential payout: $17.44
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?

No 86% 17.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?

No 85% 17.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?

No 86.9% 17.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 23?

No 87% 17.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?

No 85.9% 17.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

No 87% 17.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 18?

No 87% 17.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 28% 5.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Yes 22.5% 31.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 18?

Yes 43% 2.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 18?

Yes 11% 17.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?

Yes 35% 20 shares