Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $42.87
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $187.01
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- $22.87
Polymarket Trader
Testingme
0x9ebd14baf26264372fda9588feee7d53968f5537
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.62
- Realized PnL
- $172.5
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.96
- Potential profit
- $125.96
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $19.02
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $79.02
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $13.44
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $49.06
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $19.61
- Potential payout
- $59.88
- Potential profit
- $40.27
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $9.61
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $8.41
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $15.98
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
N
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.34
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.32
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.22
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 16% 62.5 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.5% 90.09 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.1% 64.93 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No 42% 23.81 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 41% 24.39 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.1% 116.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.3% 2.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 11.23 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.8% 25.36 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.1% 98.04 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 116.28 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.7% 114.94 shares