No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $822.54
- Potential payout
- $843.63
- Potential profit
- $21.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $47.54
Polymarket Trader
Satoli-real
0x9ec08c4ebcd7be71835a551f19886ee8fa956195
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.03K
- Realized PnL
- $82.71
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $144.19
- Potential payout
- $164.79
- Potential profit
- $20.6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $13.19
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.66
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 62.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown 85% 2.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 33% 10.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 19% 10.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown 79% 2.53 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 80% 125 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?No 37.6% 57.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp 6% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 80% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 30% 11.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 17.3% 11.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 60% 7.14 shares