Polymarket Trader

tiancai9

0x9ec570301e39b1c6c7cbeeb374e75876d9da2444

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.28
Realized PnL: $461.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Flames position

Ducks vs. Flames

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.12
Potential profit: $71.12
User PnL: -$49.78

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.16
Potential profit: $69.16
User PnL: -$49.8

Blackhawks position

Blackhawks vs. Wild

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.2
Potential profit: $68.2
User PnL: -$49.79

Utah position

Utah vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.4
Potential profit: $66.4
User PnL: -$49.14

Sabres position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.05
Potential profit: $63.05
User PnL: -$49.81

Under position

Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.5
Potential profit: $61.5
User PnL: -$49.82

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-2.5)

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.74
Potential profit: $59.74
User PnL: -$48.99

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.63
Potential profit: $56.63
User PnL: -$49.83

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.12
Potential profit: $56.12
User PnL: -$49.89

Florida Atlantic Owls position

Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.76
Potential profit: $54.76
User PnL: -$48.74

Senators position

Senators vs. Predators

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.42
Potential profit: $53.42
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $16.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.99

Under position

Washington Huskies vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

North Dakota State Bison position

North Dakota State Bison vs. Denver Pioneers

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.76

Under position

Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65

Under position

Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65

Wichita State Shockers position

Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.62

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Kings position

Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.82

Canadiens position

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.82

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Blue Jackets position

Blue Jackets vs. Blues

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

San Diego Toreros position

Washington State Cougars vs. San Diego Toreros

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.05

Blue Jackets position

Stars vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

North Texas Mean Green position

North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Kraken

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

Marquette Golden Eagles position

Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Under position

Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.61

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Jets

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.61

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.61

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 98.6% 5.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 80% 6.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 94% 5.32 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 80% 6.25 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 96% 5.21 shares
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?

No 93% 5.38 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

No 91% 5.49 shares
Hawks vs. Hornets

Hornets 99.1% 2.09 shares
Hawks vs. Hornets

Hornets 95% 2.09 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?

No 99.9% 2.27 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?

No 87.4% 2.27 shares
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Pistons 99% 2.31 shares