Polymarket Trader

notbanksy

0x9ec688b7014da47f4daafc32873b903c2d48a2a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.55
Realized PnL: $119.09
Win rate: 76.5%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $31.82
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.51
Potential profit: $25.51
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.45
Potential profit: $24.45
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.24
Potential profit: $24.24
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.59
Potential profit: $14.59
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.35
Potential profit: $14.35
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.45
Potential profit: $12.45
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.29
Potential profit: $11.29
User PnL: -$7

Mexico position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.71
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.37

Los Angeles Dodgers position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.19

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Over position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.02

San Diego Padres position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.9

No position

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$9.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Up 33% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Up 33% 3.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 23% 4.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 30% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 37% 8.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 7% 14.29 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 21% 30.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Down 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Down 33% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 11% 45.45 shares
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 5.1% 48 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 13.33 shares